Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Company Limited

SEHK:631 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$15.2b

Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Valuation

Is 631 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 631 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 631 (HK$4.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$3.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 631 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 631?

Key metric: As 631 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 631. This is calculated by dividing 631's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 631's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.2x
EarningsCN¥1.55b
Market CapCN¥14.31b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 631's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 631 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.3x
317 CSSC Offshore & Marine Engineering (Group)
68.9xn/aHK$28.4b
3898 Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric
11.4x13.8%HK$61.0b
3339 Lonking Holdings
7.3x7.9%HK$6.3b
3808 Sinotruk (Hong Kong)
9.4x11.4%HK$60.7b
631 Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings
9.2x23.6%HK$15.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 631 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 631's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2060 Pujiang International Group
1xn/aUS$19.99m
No more companies available in this PE range
631 9.2xIndustry Avg. 8.1xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 631 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the Hong Kong Machinery industry average (8.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 631's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

631 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ratio9.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 631 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 631 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$4.70
HK$6.90
+46.8%
12.6%HK$8.02HK$5.57n/a4
Dec ’25HK$4.89
HK$7.52
+53.8%
16.9%HK$9.09HK$5.67n/a4
Nov ’25HK$5.11
HK$7.52
+47.1%
16.9%HK$9.09HK$5.67n/a4
Oct ’25HK$5.82
HK$7.60
+30.7%
17.1%HK$9.21HK$5.70n/a4
Sep ’25HK$4.51
HK$8.20
+81.8%
9.8%HK$9.16HK$7.20n/a3
Aug ’25HK$4.68
HK$8.78
+87.6%
7.4%HK$9.46HK$7.90n/a3
Jul ’25HK$4.86
HK$8.78
+80.7%
7.4%HK$9.46HK$7.90n/a3
Jun ’25HK$5.97
HK$8.78
+47.1%
7.4%HK$9.46HK$7.90n/a3
May ’25HK$5.51
HK$10.52
+90.9%
28.2%HK$15.57HK$7.99n/a4
Apr ’25HK$5.03
HK$12.31
+144.6%
29.3%HK$16.14HK$8.00n/a4
Mar ’25HK$6.05
HK$14.83
+145.1%
11.9%HK$16.20HK$11.81n/a4
Feb ’25HK$5.22
HK$15.17
+190.6%
5.6%HK$16.00HK$13.76n/a4
Jan ’25HK$7.55
HK$15.17
+100.9%
5.6%HK$16.00HK$13.76n/a4
Dec ’24HK$7.91
HK$15.17
+91.8%
5.6%HK$16.00HK$13.76HK$4.894
Nov ’24HK$10.10
HK$15.25
+51.0%
6.1%HK$16.03HK$13.70HK$5.114
Oct ’24HK$12.38
HK$15.26
+23.2%
7.5%HK$16.13HK$13.64HK$5.823
Sep ’24HK$12.24
HK$13.78
+12.6%
14.1%HK$16.21HK$11.44HK$4.513
Aug ’24HK$12.36
HK$13.18
+6.6%
16.2%HK$16.19HK$11.55HK$4.683
Jul ’24HK$10.26
HK$13.03
+27.0%
15.7%HK$15.92HK$11.46HK$4.863
Jun ’24HK$9.82
HK$11.55
+17.6%
8.3%HK$12.62HK$10.29HK$5.973
May ’24HK$10.40
HK$11.71
+12.6%
9.5%HK$12.90HK$10.22HK$5.513
Apr ’24HK$8.17
HK$11.64
+42.5%
11.6%HK$12.99HK$10.30HK$5.032
Mar ’24HK$7.91
HK$11.49
+45.3%
14.9%HK$13.20HK$9.78HK$6.052
Feb ’24HK$8.05
HK$11.61
+44.2%
13.9%HK$13.22HK$10.00HK$5.222
Jan ’24HK$8.02
HK$11.79
+47.0%
15.2%HK$13.58HK$10.00HK$7.552
Dec ’23HK$8.11
HK$11.79
+45.4%
15.2%HK$13.58HK$10.00HK$7.912

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 09:53
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Sany Heavy Equipment International Holdings Company Limited is covered by 25 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Victoria LiBarclays
Tingting LiBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Rong LiCCB International Securities Limited