Stock Analysis

Does Xinyi Glass Holdings (HKG:868) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:868
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Xinyi Glass Holdings Limited (HKG:868) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Xinyi Glass Holdings

What Is Xinyi Glass Holdings's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Xinyi Glass Holdings had debt of HK$15.8b, up from HK$11.8b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$12.5b, its net debt is less, at about HK$3.30b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:868 Debt to Equity History October 19th 2022

A Look At Xinyi Glass Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Xinyi Glass Holdings had liabilities of HK$16.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$9.46b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$12.5b as well as receivables valued at HK$3.02b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$10.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Xinyi Glass Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$48.4b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Xinyi Glass Holdings's net debt is only 0.29 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 75.2 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The good news is that Xinyi Glass Holdings has increased its EBIT by 4.3% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Xinyi Glass Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Xinyi Glass Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Xinyi Glass Holdings's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Xinyi Glass Holdings takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Xinyi Glass Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:868

Xinyi Glass Holdings

An investment holding company, produces and sells automobile, construction, float, and other glass products for commercial and industrial applications.

Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.

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