Stock Analysis

China State Construction Development Holdings Limited (HKG:830) Stock Rockets 25% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

SEHK:830
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China State Construction Development Holdings Limited (HKG:830) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 21% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that China State Construction Development Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, China State Construction Development Holdings has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this strong earnings performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for China State Construction Development Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:830 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024
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Is There Some Growth For China State Construction Development Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like China State Construction Development Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 35% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 185% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 31% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 15% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that China State Construction Development Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From China State Construction Development Holdings' P/E?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now China State Construction Development Holdings' P/E is also back up to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that China State Construction Development Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with China State Construction Development Holdings, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China State Construction Development Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.