Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Lai Si Enterprise Holding (HKG:2266) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SEHK:2266
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Lai Si Enterprise Holding Limited (HKG:2266) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Lai Si Enterprise Holding

What Is Lai Si Enterprise Holding's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Lai Si Enterprise Holding had MO$30.7m of debt in June 2023, down from MO$56.6m, one year before. On the flip side, it has MO$17.7m in cash leading to net debt of about MO$13.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2266 Debt to Equity History November 3rd 2023

How Strong Is Lai Si Enterprise Holding's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Lai Si Enterprise Holding had liabilities of MO$66.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of MO$3.60m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of MO$17.7m and MO$38.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total MO$14.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Lai Si Enterprise Holding has a market capitalization of MO$117.4m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 0.46 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.8 hit our confidence in Lai Si Enterprise Holding like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, the silver lining was that Lai Si Enterprise Holding achieved a positive EBIT of MO$508k in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Lai Si Enterprise Holding will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Lai Si Enterprise Holding actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Lai Si Enterprise Holding's interest cover was a real negative on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. But like a ballerina ending on a perfect pirouette, it has not trouble converting EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Lai Si Enterprise Holding's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Lai Si Enterprise Holding has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.