Stock Analysis

CCT Fortis Holdings (HKG:138) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

SEHK:138
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that CCT Fortis Holdings Limited (HKG:138) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for CCT Fortis Holdings

What Is CCT Fortis Holdings's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CCT Fortis Holdings had HK$1.98b in debt in December 2021; about the same as the year before. However, it does have HK$393.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$1.59b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:138 Debt to Equity History April 14th 2022

How Strong Is CCT Fortis Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that CCT Fortis Holdings had liabilities of HK$1.88b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$539.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had HK$393.0m in cash and HK$247.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$1.78b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$157.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, CCT Fortis Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is CCT Fortis Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, CCT Fortis Holdings reported revenue of HK$731m, which is a gain of 45%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate CCT Fortis Holdings's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$481m. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost HK$517m in the last year. So we're not very excited about owning this stock. Its too risky for us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for CCT Fortis Holdings (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.