Stock Analysis

CK Hutchison Holdings (HKG:1) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SEHK:1
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (HKG:1) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for CK Hutchison Holdings

What Is CK Hutchison Holdings's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CK Hutchison Holdings had debt of HK$276.7b at the end of December 2023, a reduction from HK$288.3b over a year. However, it also had HK$127.3b in cash, and so its net debt is HK$149.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1 Debt to Equity History April 12th 2024

A Look At CK Hutchison Holdings' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that CK Hutchison Holdings had liabilities of HK$162.5b due within a year, and liabilities of HK$325.8b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$127.3b and HK$33.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$327.4b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the HK$142.7b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, CK Hutchison Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While we wouldn't worry about CK Hutchison Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.0, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.3 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that CK Hutchison Holdings improved its EBIT by 7.5% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CK Hutchison Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, CK Hutchison Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 81% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say CK Hutchison Holdings's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making CK Hutchison Holdings stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that CK Hutchison Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CK Hutchison Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.