Stock Analysis

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings)'s (HKG:2388) Dividend Will Be Increased To HK$1.15

SEHK:2388
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The board of BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2388) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of HK$1.15 on the 15th of July, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. The payment will take the dividend yield to 7.0%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

See our latest analysis for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings)

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings)'s Payment Expected To Have Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible.

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) has a long history of paying out dividends, with its current track record at a minimum of 10 years. Based on BOC Hong Kong (Holdings)'s last earnings report, the payout ratio is at a decent 54%, meaning that the company is able to pay out its dividend with a bit of room to spare.

Over the next 3 years, EPS is forecast to expand by 18.4%. Analysts estimate the future payout ratio will be 57% over the same time period, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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SEHK:2388 Historic Dividend June 28th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of HK$1.01 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of HK$1.67. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 5.2% per annum over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) hasn't seen much change in its earnings per share over the last five years. Growth of 0.4% may indicate that the company has limited investment opportunity so it is returning its earnings to shareholders instead. While this isn't necessarily a negative, it definitely signals that dividend growth could be constrained in the future unless earnings start to pick up again.

Our Thoughts On BOC Hong Kong (Holdings)'s Dividend

In summary, it's great to see that the company can raise the dividend and keep it in a sustainable range. The dividend has been at reasonable levels historically, but that hasn't translated into a consistent payment. The payment isn't stellar, but it could make a decent addition to a dividend portfolio.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.