Stock Analysis

Global International Credit Group (HKG:1669) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To HK$0.053

SEHK:1669
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Global International Credit Group Limited's (HKG:1669) dividend is being reduced to HK$0.053 on the 24th of June. The dividend yield of 9.0% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

Check out our latest analysis for Global International Credit Group

Global International Credit Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last payment, Global International Credit Group was quite comfortably earning enough to cover the dividend. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

EPS is set to fall by 7.3% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 44%, which is definitely feasible to continue.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1669 Historic Dividend April 27th 2022

Global International Credit Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, Global International Credit Group's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from HK$0.027 to HK$0.053. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% a year over that time. Global International Credit Group has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Global International Credit Group's EPS has declined at around 7.3% a year. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends.

Our Thoughts On Global International Credit Group's Dividend

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think Global International Credit Group is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Global International Credit Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.