Stock Analysis

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Limited's (HKG:48) Shares Climb 36% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

SEHK:48
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China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Limited (HKG:48) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36% after a shaky period beforehand. But the last month did very little to improve the 71% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Auto Components industry is similar at about 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:48 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024

How Has China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.2%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 14% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings' P/S?

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We find it unexpected that China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:48

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings

China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of nonwoven fabric products for use in automotive interior decoration parts and other parts in the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong.

Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.