CALB Group Co., Ltd. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

CALB Group Co., Ltd. (HKG:3931) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. It was a solid earnings report, with revenues and statutory earnings per share (EPS) both coming in strong. Revenues were 12% higher than the analysts had forecast, at CN¥16b, while EPS were CN¥0.26 beating analyst models by 25%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on CALB Group after the latest results.

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Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from CALB Group's eleven analysts is for revenues of CN¥39.4b in 2025. This would reflect a sizeable 24% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 70% to CN¥0.78. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥38.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.84 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the minor downgrade to their earnings per share numbers for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for CALB Group

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at HK$22.14, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values CALB Group at HK$28.19 per share, while the most bearish prices it at HK$12.05. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that CALB Group's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 55% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 17% over the past year. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 14% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect CALB Group to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on CALB Group. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for CALB Group going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for CALB Group that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.