Stock Analysis

Is Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A.'s (ATH:HTO) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?

ATSE:HTO
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With its stock down 6.9% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Hellenic Telecommunications Organization (ATH:HTO). It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Hellenic Telecommunications Organization

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hellenic Telecommunications Organization is:

11% = €237m ÷ €2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every €1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated €0.11 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

When you first look at it, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 12%. Having said that, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization has shown a modest net income growth of 17% over the past five years. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

As a next step, we compared Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 6.8%.

past-earnings-growth
ATSE:HTO Past Earnings Growth March 10th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Hellenic Telecommunications Organization is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Hellenic Telecommunications Organization Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 91% (or a retention ratio of 8.6%) for Hellenic Telecommunications Organization suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of its income to its shareholders.

Besides, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 59% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected drop in the payout ratio explains the expected increase in the company's ROE to 28%, over the same period.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's performance. While the company has posted impressive earnings growth, its poor ROE and low earnings retention makes us doubtful if that growth could continue, if by any chance the business is faced with any sort of risk. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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