Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Lavipharm S.A.'s (ATH:LAVI) P/E Ratio
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 61.9x Lavipharm S.A. (ATH:LAVI) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Greece have P/E ratios under 11x and even P/E's lower than 8x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Lavipharm over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Lavipharm
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lavipharm's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Growth For Lavipharm?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Lavipharm's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 55%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 91% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 6.9% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Lavipharm's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Lavipharm currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Lavipharm (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Lavipharm. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ATSE:LAVI
Lavipharm
Engages in the research, development, manufacture, import, marketing, sale, and wholesale of pharmaceutical, dermocosmetic, and healthcare products to physicians and pharmacists in Greece and internationally.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.