Stock Analysis

Does GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction (ATH:GEKTERNA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ATSE:GEKTERNA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that GEK TERNA Holdings, Real Estate, Construction S.A. (ATH:GEKTERNA) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction

What Is GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction had €2.60b of debt, an increase on €2.43b, over one year. However, it also had €1.37b in cash, and so its net debt is €1.23b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:GEKTERNA Debt to Equity History May 11th 2022

How Strong Is GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction had liabilities of €951.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €2.99b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €1.37b in cash and €398.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €2.17b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €886.1m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While we wouldn't worry about GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.1, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.8 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. On a lighter note, we note that GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction grew its EBIT by 24% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 71% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

To be frank both GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for GEK TERNA Holdings Real Estate Construction (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.