Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Severn Trent PLC (LON:SVT) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Severn Trent
How Much Debt Does Severn Trent Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Severn Trent had debt of UK£8.15b, up from UK£7.20b in one year. However, it does have UK£953.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about UK£7.20b.
How Healthy Is Severn Trent's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Severn Trent had liabilities of UK£847.4m due within a year, and liabilities of UK£11.5b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£953.2m as well as receivables valued at UK£786.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£10.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of UK£7.59b, we think shareholders really should watch Severn Trent's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Weak interest cover of 1.9 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.1 hit our confidence in Severn Trent like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Notably, Severn Trent's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, which isn't ideal given the debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Severn Trent's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Severn Trent actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
To be frank both Severn Trent's interest cover and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. We should also note that Water Utilities industry companies like Severn Trent commonly do use debt without problems. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Severn Trent has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Severn Trent (including 2 which don't sit too well with us) .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:SVT
Severn Trent
Provides water and waste water services in the United Kingdom.
High growth potential with proven track record.