Stock Analysis

Is Global Ports Holding (LON:GPH) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

LSE:GPH
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Global Ports Holding Plc (LON:GPH) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Global Ports Holding

What Is Global Ports Holding's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Global Ports Holding had US$353.4m of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$35.5m in cash, and so its net debt is US$317.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:GPH Debt to Equity History January 1st 2021

A Look At Global Ports Holding's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Global Ports Holding had liabilities of US$92.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$427.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$35.5m in cash and US$30.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$454.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$87.3m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Global Ports Holding would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Global Ports Holding can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Global Ports Holding made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$62m, which is a fall of 49%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Global Ports Holding's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$21m. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost US$42m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Global Ports Holding that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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