Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Jet2 plc (LON:JET2) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Jet2
What Is Jet2's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jet2 had debt of UK£760.9m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from UK£932.2m over a year. However, it does have UK£3.21b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of UK£2.45b.
How Healthy Is Jet2's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jet2 had liabilities of UK£2.22b due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£1.43b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£3.21b as well as receivables valued at UK£266.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total UK£172.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Jet2 shares are worth a total of UK£2.86b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Jet2 boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Jet2 has boosted its EBIT by 36%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jet2 can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Jet2 may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Jet2 actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Jet2 has UK£2.45b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 214% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in UK£658m. So we don't think Jet2's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Jet2 you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:JET2
Jet2
Engages in the leisure travel business primarily in the United Kingdom.
Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet.