Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Jet2 plc (LON:JET2) Underpins Its Share Price

AIM:JET2
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Jet2 plc's (LON:JET2) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 16x and even P/E's above 29x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Recent times have been pleasing for Jet2 as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Jet2

pe-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:JET2 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 2nd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Jet2.

Is There Any Growth For Jet2?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Jet2's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 111% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 2.5% per year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 11% each year, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jet2's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Jet2 maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jet2 (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Jet2. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.