Stock Analysis

The Sage Group plc (LON:SGE) Stocks Shoot Up 32% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

LSE:SGE
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The Sage Group plc (LON:SGE) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 32% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 15% is also fairly reasonable.

After such a large jump in price, Sage Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40x, since almost half of all companies in the United Kingdom have P/E ratios under 16x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Sage Group has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Sage Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:SGE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 4th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sage Group.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sage Group would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 55% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen a 23% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 16% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Sage Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Sage Group's P/E?

The strong share price surge has got Sage Group's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Sage Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Sage Group that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.