Stock Analysis

PayPoint (LON:PAY) Is Increasing Its Dividend To UK£0.085

LSE:PAY
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The board of PayPoint plc (LON:PAY) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 7th of March to UK£0.085. This makes the dividend yield 5.1%, which is above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for PayPoint

PayPoint's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Based on the last payment, the dividend made up 95% of cash flows, but a higher proportion of net income. The company could be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but this could indicate that growth opportunities are few and far between.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 53.7% over the next year. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 66% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

historic-dividend
LSE:PAY Historic Dividend January 1st 2022

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the first annual payment was UK£0.23, compared to the most recent full-year payment of UK£0.34. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 3.8% per annum over that time. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.

PayPoint May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. However, PayPoint has only grown its earnings per share at 3.1% per annum over the past five years. The earnings growth is anaemic, and the company is paying out 104% of its profit. Limited recent earnings growth and a high payout ratio makes it hard for us to envision strong future dividend growth, unless the company should have substantial pricing power or some form of competitive advantage.

PayPoint's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think PayPoint's payments are rock solid. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We don't think PayPoint is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for PayPoint that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.