Stock Analysis

Caffyns (LON:CFYN) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.05

LSE:CFYN
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The board of Caffyns plc (LON:CFYN) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 9th of August, with investors receiving £0.05 per share. This means that the annual payment is 2.2% of the current stock price, which is lower than what the rest of the industry is paying.

Check out our latest analysis for Caffyns

Caffyns Might Find It Hard To Continue The Dividend

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Even in the absence of profits, Caffyns is paying a dividend. The company is also yet to generate cash flow, so the dividend sustainability is definitely questionable.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 27.2% if recent trends continue. While it is good to see income moving in the right direction, it still looks like the company won't achieve profitability. Unless this happens fairly soon, the dividend could start to come under pressure.

historic-dividend
LSE:CFYN Historic Dividend June 17th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of £0.18 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of £0.10. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 5.7% per year. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

The Company Could Face Some Challenges Growing The Dividend

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. We are encouraged to see that Caffyns has grown earnings per share at 27% per year over the past five years. Even though the company is not profitable, it is growing at a solid clip. If profitability can be achieved soon and growth continues apace, this stock could certainly turn into a solid dividend payer.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. Strong earnings growth means Caffyns has the potential to be a good dividend stock in the future, despite the current payments being at elevated levels. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Caffyns has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about. Is Caffyns not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.