Safestore Holdings Valuation

Is SAFE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAFE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAFE (£7.81) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£12.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAFE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAFE?

Key metric: As SAFE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SAFE. This is calculated by dividing SAFE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SAFE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.5x
EarningsUK£264.20m
Market CapUK£1.70b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAFE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAFE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.1x
BYG Big Yellow Group
9.6x-1.2%UK£2.3b
AGR Assura
19.3x20.8%UK£1.3b
UKCM UK Commercial Property REIT
29.9xn/aUK£947.3m
BBOX Tritax Big Box REIT
21.6x25.4%UK£3.4b
SAFE Safestore Holdings
6.5x-3.0%UK£1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAFE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the peer average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAFE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialized REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SAFE 6.5xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAFE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the Global Specialized REITs industry average (19x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAFE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAFE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.5x
Fair PE Ratio14.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SAFE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAFE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£7.81
UK£9.63
+23.3%
13.8%UK£12.50UK£8.03n/a13
Nov ’25UK£8.07
UK£9.64
+19.4%
13.7%UK£12.50UK£8.10n/a13
Oct ’25UK£9.08
UK£9.49
+4.5%
11.3%UK£11.42UK£8.10n/a13
Sep ’25UK£8.65
UK£9.49
+9.8%
11.9%UK£11.42UK£8.10n/a13
Aug ’25UK£8.19
UK£9.40
+14.9%
10.8%UK£11.40UK£8.10n/a13
Jul ’25UK£7.74
UK£9.53
+23.1%
10.3%UK£11.40UK£8.10n/a13
Jun ’25UK£9.00
UK£9.71
+7.9%
15.3%UK£13.40UK£8.10n/a12
May ’25UK£7.70
UK£9.77
+26.9%
15.1%UK£13.40UK£8.10n/a12
Apr ’25UK£7.55
UK£9.84
+30.4%
14.4%UK£13.40UK£8.30n/a12
Mar ’25UK£7.86
UK£9.84
+25.2%
14.4%UK£13.40UK£8.30n/a12
Feb ’25UK£8.10
UK£9.95
+22.8%
14.7%UK£13.40UK£7.60n/a13
Jan ’25UK£8.84
UK£9.86
+11.5%
18.9%UK£14.25UK£7.20n/a12
Dec ’24UK£7.89
UK£9.86
+25.0%
18.9%UK£14.25UK£7.20n/a12
Nov ’24UK£6.90
UK£10.20
+47.9%
19.0%UK£14.25UK£7.20UK£8.0711
Oct ’24UK£7.36
UK£10.44
+41.9%
16.2%UK£14.25UK£7.60UK£9.0812
Sep ’24UK£8.58
UK£10.85
+26.5%
18.7%UK£16.02UK£7.70UK£8.6512
Aug ’24UK£8.80
UK£11.03
+25.4%
18.4%UK£16.02UK£7.70UK£8.1911
Jul ’24UK£8.49
UK£11.47
+35.2%
14.0%UK£16.02UK£9.50UK£7.7411
Jun ’24UK£9.47
UK£12.07
+27.6%
16.7%UK£16.35UK£10.29UK£9.0011
May ’24UK£9.91
UK£12.13
+22.5%
16.0%UK£16.35UK£10.29UK£7.7012
Apr ’24UK£9.50
UK£12.13
+27.7%
16.0%UK£16.35UK£10.29UK£7.5512
Mar ’24UK£9.93
UK£12.13
+22.3%
16.0%UK£16.35UK£10.29UK£7.8612
Feb ’24UK£10.04
UK£11.81
+17.6%
17.9%UK£16.35UK£10.00UK£8.1012
Jan ’24UK£9.45
UK£11.51
+21.8%
21.0%UK£16.35UK£8.65UK£8.8411
Dec ’23UK£9.26
UK£11.51
+24.3%
21.0%UK£16.35UK£8.65UK£7.8911
Nov ’23UK£9.30
UK£11.74
+26.4%
20.3%UK£16.35UK£8.65UK£6.9011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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