Safestore Holdings Plc

LSE:SAFE Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.5b

Safestore Holdings Valuation

Is SAFE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAFE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAFE (£6.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£11.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAFE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAFE?

Key metric: As SAFE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SAFE. This is calculated by dividing SAFE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SAFE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.5x
EarningsUK£264.20m
Market CapUK£1.46b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAFE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAFE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.2x
BYG Big Yellow Group
7.1x-4.7%UK£1.9b
AGR Assura
18.8x19.6%UK£1.2b
UKCM UK Commercial Property REIT
29.9xn/aUK£947.3m
BBOX Tritax Big Box REIT
20.9x27.0%UK£3.3b
SAFE Safestore Holdings
5.5x-4.0%UK£1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAFE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (19.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAFE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialized REITs Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SAFE 5.5xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAFE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the Global Specialized REITs industry average (18.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAFE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAFE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.5x
Fair PE Ratio14.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SAFE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAFE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£6.69
UK£9.38
+40.3%
14.9%UK£12.50UK£7.80n/a13
Dec ’25UK£7.45
UK£9.63
+29.3%
13.8%UK£12.50UK£8.03n/a13
Nov ’25UK£8.07
UK£9.64
+19.4%
13.7%UK£12.50UK£8.10n/a13
Oct ’25UK£9.08
UK£9.49
+4.5%
11.3%UK£11.42UK£8.10n/a13
Sep ’25UK£8.65
UK£9.49
+9.8%
11.9%UK£11.42UK£8.10n/a13
Aug ’25UK£8.19
UK£9.40
+14.9%
10.8%UK£11.40UK£8.10n/a13
Jul ’25UK£7.74
UK£9.53
+23.1%
10.3%UK£11.40UK£8.10n/a13
Jun ’25UK£9.00
UK£9.71
+7.9%
15.3%UK£13.40UK£8.10n/a12
May ’25UK£7.70
UK£9.77
+26.9%
15.1%UK£13.40UK£8.10n/a12
Apr ’25UK£7.55
UK£9.84
+30.4%
14.4%UK£13.40UK£8.30n/a12
Mar ’25UK£7.86
UK£9.84
+25.2%
14.4%UK£13.40UK£8.30n/a12
Feb ’25UK£8.10
UK£9.95
+22.8%
14.7%UK£13.40UK£7.60n/a13
Jan ’25UK£8.84
UK£9.86
+11.5%
18.9%UK£14.25UK£7.20n/a12
Dec ’24UK£7.89
UK£9.86
+25.0%
18.9%UK£14.25UK£7.20UK£7.4512
Nov ’24UK£6.90
UK£10.20
+47.9%
19.0%UK£14.25UK£7.20UK£8.0711
Oct ’24UK£7.36
UK£10.44
+41.9%
16.2%UK£14.25UK£7.60UK£9.0812
Sep ’24UK£8.58
UK£10.85
+26.5%
18.7%UK£16.02UK£7.70UK£8.6512
Aug ’24UK£8.80
UK£11.03
+25.4%
18.4%UK£16.02UK£7.70UK£8.1911
Jul ’24UK£8.49
UK£11.47
+35.2%
14.0%UK£16.02UK£9.50UK£7.7411
Jun ’24UK£9.47
UK£12.07
+27.6%
16.7%UK£16.35UK£10.29UK£9.0011
May ’24UK£9.91
UK£12.13
+22.5%
16.0%UK£16.35UK£10.29UK£7.7012
Apr ’24UK£9.50
UK£12.13
+27.7%
16.0%UK£16.35UK£10.29UK£7.5512
Mar ’24UK£9.93
UK£12.13
+22.3%
16.0%UK£16.35UK£10.29UK£7.8612
Feb ’24UK£10.04
UK£11.81
+17.6%
17.9%UK£16.35UK£10.00UK£8.1012
Jan ’24UK£9.45
UK£11.51
+21.8%
21.0%UK£16.35UK£8.65UK£8.8411
Dec ’23UK£9.26
UK£11.51
+24.3%
21.0%UK£16.35UK£8.65UK£7.8911

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/17 06:39
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/17 00:00
Earnings2024/04/30
Annual Earnings2023/10/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Safestore Holdings Plc is covered by 28 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alan SpoliarAltium Capital Limited
Paul MayBarclays
Paul MayBarclays