Assura Plc

LSE:AGR Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.2b

Assura Valuation

Is AGR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AGR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AGR (£0.38) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AGR is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AGR?

Key metric: As AGR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AGR. This is calculated by dividing AGR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AGR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.7x
EarningsUK£66.10m
Market CapUK£1.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AGR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AGR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
THRL Target Healthcare REIT
7.1x3.4%UK£517.9m
CRT Care REIT
7x7.2%UK£334.4m
SAFE Safestore Holdings
5.4x-4.0%UK£1.4b
UKCM UK Commercial Property REIT
29.9xn/aUK£947.3m
AGR Assura
18.7x19.6%UK£1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AGR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AGR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Health Care REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AGR 18.7xIndustry Avg. 25.1xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AGR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the Global Health Care REITs industry average (25.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AGR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AGR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.7x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AGR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AGR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.38
UK£0.48
+26.4%
8.8%UK£0.55UK£0.40n/a9
Dec ’25UK£0.40
UK£0.48
+22.2%
8.3%UK£0.55UK£0.40n/a9
Nov ’25UK£0.40
UK£0.49
+22.6%
6.4%UK£0.55UK£0.45n/a9
Oct ’25UK£0.43
UK£0.49
+14.4%
6.4%UK£0.55UK£0.45n/a9
Sep ’25UK£0.42
UK£0.49
+17.8%
5.8%UK£0.55UK£0.45n/a9
Aug ’25UK£0.42
UK£0.50
+20.0%
5.9%UK£0.55UK£0.45n/a9
Jul ’25UK£0.40
UK£0.50
+24.1%
5.9%UK£0.55UK£0.45n/a9
Jun ’25UK£0.41
UK£0.50
+20.7%
5.2%UK£0.55UK£0.45n/a10
May ’25UK£0.41
UK£0.51
+24.0%
4.0%UK£0.55UK£0.48n/a10
Apr ’25UK£0.42
UK£0.51
+19.6%
4.0%UK£0.55UK£0.48n/a10
Mar ’25UK£0.42
UK£0.51
+21.4%
4.3%UK£0.55UK£0.48n/a10
Feb ’25UK£0.43
UK£0.51
+17.8%
4.8%UK£0.55UK£0.48n/a10
Jan ’25UK£0.48
UK£0.52
+8.1%
6.3%UK£0.59UK£0.48n/a10
Dec ’24UK£0.45
UK£0.52
+14.8%
6.3%UK£0.59UK£0.48UK£0.4010
Nov ’24UK£0.41
UK£0.52
+26.1%
7.1%UK£0.59UK£0.48UK£0.4010
Oct ’24UK£0.42
UK£0.54
+26.7%
7.4%UK£0.59UK£0.48UK£0.439
Sep ’24UK£0.45
UK£0.54
+19.4%
6.5%UK£0.59UK£0.49UK£0.429
Aug ’24UK£0.47
UK£0.56
+19.5%
12.7%UK£0.75UK£0.49UK£0.4210
Jul ’24UK£0.45
UK£0.59
+30.2%
13.9%UK£0.75UK£0.52UK£0.4010
Jun ’24UK£0.48
UK£0.60
+25.2%
13.8%UK£0.75UK£0.52UK£0.4110
May ’24UK£0.51
UK£0.61
+19.8%
13.7%UK£0.75UK£0.50UK£0.4110
Apr ’24UK£0.49
UK£0.61
+24.8%
13.7%UK£0.75UK£0.50UK£0.4210
Mar ’24UK£0.51
UK£0.61
+20.6%
12.8%UK£0.75UK£0.50UK£0.4211
Feb ’24UK£0.55
UK£0.63
+14.4%
11.2%UK£0.75UK£0.55UK£0.4311
Jan ’24UK£0.55
UK£0.65
+19.3%
11.7%UK£0.77UK£0.55UK£0.4811
Dec ’23UK£0.55
UK£0.66
+20.6%
11.7%UK£0.77UK£0.55UK£0.4511

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 19:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Assura Plc is covered by 20 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kanad MitraBarclays
Miranda CockburnBerenberg
Tom HorneBerenberg