Big Yellow Group Valuation

Is BYG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BYG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BYG (£9.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£15.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BYG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BYG?

Key metric: As BYG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BYG. This is calculated by dividing BYG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BYG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	7.1x
Earnings	UK£265.89m
Market Cap	UK£1.90b

BYG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	11.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	17.7x
PEG Ratio	-1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BYG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BYG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	16.6x
SAFE Safestore Holdings	5.5x	-4.0%	UK£1.5b
AGR Assura	18.8x	19.6%	UK£1.2b
BBOX Tritax Big Box REIT	20.9x	27.0%	UK£3.3b
BLND British Land	21.1x	22.3%	UK£3.6b
BYG Big Yellow Group	7.1x	-4.7%	UK£1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BYG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (16.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BYG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialized REITs Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BYG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the Global Specialized REITs industry average (18.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BYG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BYG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	7.1x
Fair PE Ratio	14.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BYG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BYG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	UK£9.65	UK£12.67 +31.3%	9.2%	UK£15.25	UK£10.10	n/a	14
Dec ’25	UK£10.72	UK£13.02 +21.5%	8.7%	UK£15.25	UK£11.32	n/a	14
Nov ’25	UK£12.04	UK£13.47 +11.9%	9.5%	UK£16.50	UK£11.57	n/a	15
Oct ’25	UK£12.90	UK£13.31 +3.2%	7.6%	UK£15.25	UK£11.57	n/a	15
Sep ’25	UK£12.62	UK£13.18 +4.5%	8.5%	UK£15.25	UK£11.50	n/a	15
Aug ’25	UK£12.20	UK£12.82 +5.1%	9.8%	UK£15.20	UK£9.84	n/a	15
Jul ’25	UK£11.72	UK£12.68 +8.2%	10.2%	UK£15.20	UK£9.84	n/a	15
Jun ’25	UK£12.48	UK£12.48 -0.02%	11.9%	UK£14.10	UK£9.03	n/a	15
May ’25	UK£10.86	UK£12.11 +11.6%	11.4%	UK£14.10	UK£9.03	n/a	15
Apr ’25	UK£10.64	UK£12.11 +13.8%	11.4%	UK£14.10	UK£9.03	n/a	15
Mar ’25	UK£10.37	UK£12.10 +16.7%	11.9%	UK£14.30	UK£9.03	n/a	15
Feb ’25	UK£11.42	UK£12.10 +5.9%	11.9%	UK£14.30	UK£9.03	n/a	15
Jan ’25	UK£12.22	UK£11.99 -1.9%	11.1%	UK£14.00	UK£9.03	n/a	15
Dec ’24	UK£11.04	UK£11.81 +7.0%	10.8%	UK£14.00	UK£9.03	UK£10.72	15
Nov ’24	UK£9.61	UK£11.69 +21.6%	11.1%	UK£14.00	UK£9.03	UK£12.04	14
Oct ’24	UK£9.39	UK£11.96 +27.4%	12.6%	UK£14.20	UK£9.03	UK£12.90	14
Sep ’24	UK£10.57	UK£12.13 +14.7%	11.2%	UK£14.20	UK£9.03	UK£12.62	14
Aug ’24	UK£10.63	UK£12.22 +15.0%	11.0%	UK£14.20	UK£9.03	UK£12.20	14
Jul ’24	UK£10.73	UK£12.43 +15.9%	8.7%	UK£14.20	UK£10.82	UK£11.72	15
Jun ’24	UK£11.57	UK£12.47 +7.8%	8.3%	UK£14.20	UK£11.00	UK£12.48	14
May ’24	UK£12.24	UK£12.75 +4.1%	9.5%	UK£15.00	UK£11.00	UK£10.86	15
Apr ’24	UK£11.69	UK£12.75 +9.0%	9.5%	UK£15.00	UK£11.00	UK£10.64	15
Mar ’24	UK£11.95	UK£12.75 +6.7%	9.5%	UK£15.00	UK£11.00	UK£10.37	15
Feb ’24	UK£12.18	UK£12.45 +2.2%	9.8%	UK£15.00	UK£10.50	UK£11.42	15
Jan ’24	UK£11.47	UK£12.30 +7.2%	8.6%	UK£15.00	UK£10.50	UK£12.22	14
Dec ’23	UK£11.23	UK£12.87 +14.6%	15.8%	UK£18.46	UK£10.50	UK£11.04	14

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.