Tritax Big Box REIT plc

LSE:BBOX Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£3.3b

Tritax Big Box REIT Valuation

Is BBOX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BBOX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BBOX (£1.32) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BBOX is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BBOX?

Key metric: As BBOX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BBOX. This is calculated by dividing BBOX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BBOX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.9x
EarningsUK£156.40m
Market CapUK£3.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BBOX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BBOX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.9x
SHED Urban Logistics REIT
27x54.6%UK£488.5m
WHR Warehouse REIT
9.1x8.7%UK£339.5m
BLND British Land
21.1x22.3%UK£3.6b
UTG Unite Group
14.5x15.0%UK£4.0b
BBOX Tritax Big Box REIT
20.9x27.0%UK£3.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BBOX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BBOX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BBOX 20.9xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BBOX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BBOX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BBOX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BBOX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BBOX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.32
UK£1.82
+37.9%
9.4%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Dec ’25UK£1.39
UK£1.86
+33.5%
8.7%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Nov ’25UK£1.40
UK£1.87
+33.7%
9.4%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Oct ’25UK£1.61
UK£1.87
+16.2%
8.9%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Sep ’25UK£1.63
UK£1.83
+12.7%
8.5%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Aug ’25UK£1.66
UK£1.83
+10.6%
8.5%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Jul ’25UK£1.53
UK£1.83
+20.1%
8.5%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Jun ’25UK£1.58
UK£1.83
+16.0%
8.9%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a10
May ’25UK£1.53
UK£1.80
+17.2%
9.2%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a9
Apr ’25UK£1.57
UK£1.75
+11.4%
10.5%UK£2.10UK£1.50n/a9
Mar ’25UK£1.50
UK£1.73
+15.6%
11.3%UK£2.10UK£1.50n/a9
Feb ’25UK£1.65
UK£1.77
+7.2%
9.4%UK£2.10UK£1.55n/a12
Jan ’25UK£1.69
UK£1.70
+0.5%
7.7%UK£1.95UK£1.55n/a12
Dec ’24UK£1.57
UK£1.64
+5.0%
7.8%UK£1.85UK£1.40UK£1.3912
Nov ’24UK£1.40
UK£1.69
+20.8%
9.7%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.4014
Oct ’24UK£1.40
UK£1.70
+21.4%
9.9%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.6113
Sep ’24UK£1.39
UK£1.71
+22.7%
10.9%UK£2.15UK£1.40UK£1.6313
Aug ’24UK£1.38
UK£1.66
+20.5%
10.3%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.6613
Jul ’24UK£1.25
UK£1.67
+33.9%
10.2%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.5312
Jun ’24UK£1.41
UK£1.72
+21.9%
10.8%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.5811
May ’24UK£1.55
UK£1.72
+10.8%
10.4%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.5312
Apr ’24UK£1.40
UK£1.73
+23.4%
9.6%UK£2.05UK£1.50UK£1.5712
Mar ’24UK£1.47
UK£1.71
+16.0%
9.8%UK£2.00UK£1.50UK£1.5013
Feb ’24UK£1.56
UK£1.72
+10.0%
12.5%UK£2.15UK£1.38UK£1.6513
Jan ’24UK£1.39
UK£1.77
+27.4%
19.3%UK£2.54UK£1.33UK£1.6913
Dec ’23UK£1.46
UK£1.78
+22.0%
18.9%UK£2.54UK£1.33UK£1.5713

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/17 00:54
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/17 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Tritax Big Box REIT plc is covered by 23 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Paul MayBarclays
Paul MayBarclays
Tom HorneBerenberg