Tritax Big Box REIT plc

LSE:BBOX Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£3.5b

Tritax Big Box REIT Valuation

Is BBOX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BBOX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
UK£1.69
Fair Value
16.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: BBOX (£1.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£1.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BBOX is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BBOX?

Key metric: As BBOX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BBOX. This is calculated by dividing BBOX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BBOX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.9x
EarningsUK£445.50m
Market CapUK£3.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BBOX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BBOX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.9x
SGRO SEGRO
15.1x15.40%UK£9.0b
SHED Urban Logistics REIT
40x54.05%UK£725.5m
WHR Warehouse REIT
11.3xn/aUK£421.5m
UTG Unite Group
9.1x5.10%UK£4.0b
BBOX Tritax Big Box REIT
7.9x-1.87%UK£3.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BBOX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the peer average (18.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BBOX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BBOX 7.9xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BBOX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (16.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BBOX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BBOX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.9x
Fair PE Ratio12x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BBOX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BBOX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.42
UK£1.72
+21.47%
10.13%UK£2.00UK£1.45n/a11
May ’26UK£1.45
UK£1.72
+19.28%
10.13%UK£2.00UK£1.45n/a11
Apr ’26UK£1.41
UK£1.76
+24.92%
10.34%UK£2.00UK£1.45n/a11
Mar ’26UK£1.47
UK£1.78
+20.78%
11.56%UK£2.10UK£1.45n/a11
Feb ’26UK£1.46
UK£1.76
+20.53%
11.01%UK£2.10UK£1.45n/a11
Jan ’26UK£1.33
UK£1.82
+37.22%
9.36%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Dec ’25UK£1.39
UK£1.86
+33.52%
8.72%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Nov ’25UK£1.40
UK£1.87
+33.73%
9.35%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Oct ’25UK£1.61
UK£1.87
+16.21%
8.86%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Sep ’25UK£1.63
UK£1.83
+12.69%
8.52%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Aug ’25UK£1.66
UK£1.83
+10.65%
8.52%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Jul ’25UK£1.53
UK£1.83
+20.06%
8.52%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a11
Jun ’25UK£1.58
UK£1.83
+16.01%
8.94%UK£2.10UK£1.51n/a10
May ’25UK£1.53
UK£1.80
+17.20%
9.22%UK£2.10UK£1.51UK£1.459
Apr ’25UK£1.57
UK£1.75
+11.39%
10.51%UK£2.10UK£1.50UK£1.419
Mar ’25UK£1.50
UK£1.73
+15.64%
11.26%UK£2.10UK£1.50UK£1.479
Feb ’25UK£1.65
UK£1.77
+7.16%
9.39%UK£2.10UK£1.55UK£1.4612
Jan ’25UK£1.69
UK£1.70
+0.50%
7.73%UK£1.95UK£1.55UK£1.3312
Dec ’24UK£1.57
UK£1.64
+5.01%
7.77%UK£1.85UK£1.40UK£1.3912
Nov ’24UK£1.40
UK£1.69
+20.77%
9.66%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.4014
Oct ’24UK£1.40
UK£1.70
+21.44%
9.95%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.6113
Sep ’24UK£1.39
UK£1.71
+22.69%
10.91%UK£2.15UK£1.40UK£1.6313
Aug ’24UK£1.38
UK£1.66
+20.50%
10.29%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.6613
Jul ’24UK£1.25
UK£1.67
+33.93%
10.18%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.5312
Jun ’24UK£1.41
UK£1.72
+21.94%
10.78%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.5811
May ’24UK£1.55
UK£1.72
+10.79%
10.43%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.5312
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
UK£1.72
Fair Value
17.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/27 02:50
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/27 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tritax Big Box REIT plc is covered by 19 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Paul MayBarclays
Paul MayBarclays
Miranda CockburnBerenberg