Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Moneysupermarket.com Group PLC (LON:MONY) For Its Upcoming Dividend

LSE:MONY
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Moneysupermarket.com Group PLC (LON:MONY) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Accordingly, Moneysupermarket.com Group investors that purchase the stock on or after the 30th of March will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 11th of May.

The company's next dividend payment will be UK£0.086 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of UK£0.12 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Moneysupermarket.com Group has a trailing yield of 4.7% on the current share price of £2.474. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Moneysupermarket.com Group

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Last year, Moneysupermarket.com Group paid out 92% of its income as dividends, which is above a level that we're comfortable with, especially if the company needs to reinvest in its business. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Dividends consumed 68% of the company's free cash flow last year, which is within a normal range for most dividend-paying organisations.

It's good to see that while Moneysupermarket.com Group's dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company continues paying out such a high percentage of its profits, the dividend could be at risk if business turns sour.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
LSE:MONY Historic Dividend March 25th 2023
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Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. That's why it's not ideal to see Moneysupermarket.com Group's earnings per share have been shrinking at 2.5% a year over the previous five years.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Moneysupermarket.com Group has delivered an average of 7.4% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Moneysupermarket.com Group is already paying out 92% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

Final Takeaway

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Moneysupermarket.com Group? Earnings per share have been shrinking in recent times. Worse, Moneysupermarket.com Group's paying out a majority of its earnings and more than half its free cash flow. Positive cash flows are good news but it's not a good combination. It's not an attractive combination from a dividend perspective, and we're inclined to pass on this one for the time being.

Although, if you're still interested in Moneysupermarket.com Group and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. Our analysis shows 1 warning sign for Moneysupermarket.com Group and you should be aware of this before buying any shares.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.