Stock Analysis

4imprint Group plc (LON:FOUR) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Cutting Their Estimates

LSE:FOUR
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It's been a sad week for 4imprint Group plc (LON:FOUR), who've watched their investment drop 18% to UK£41.30 in the week since the company reported its full-year result. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of US$1.4b and statutory earnings per share of US$4.15. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

See our latest analysis for 4imprint Group

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LSE:FOUR Earnings and Revenue Growth March 14th 2025

Following last week's earnings report, 4imprint Group's nine analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be US$1.34b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to shrink 7.2% to US$3.87 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$1.43b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.21 in 2025. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a small dip in earnings per share estimates.

The analysts made no major changes to their price target of UK£66.98, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on 4imprint Group's valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on 4imprint Group, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at UK£79.70 and the most bearish at UK£56.18 per share. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting 4imprint Group is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 1.9% annualised decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 17% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 1.6% per year. It's pretty clear that 4imprint Group's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

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The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for 4imprint Group. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for 4imprint Group going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You can also see our analysis of 4imprint Group's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:FOUR

4imprint Group

Operates as a direct marketer of promotional products in North America, the United Kingdom, and Ireland.

Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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