Stock Analysis

Celtic (LON:CCP) Shareholders Have Enjoyed A 59% Share Price Gain

AIM:CCP
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When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. To wit, the Celtic share price has climbed 59% in five years, easily topping the market decline of 7.7% (ignoring dividends).

View our latest analysis for Celtic

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the last half decade, Celtic became profitable. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd expect the share price to be up. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. We can see that the Celtic share price is down 14% in the last three years. Meanwhile, EPS is up 20% per year. So there seems to be a mismatch between the positive EPS growth and the change in the share price, which is down -4.7% per year.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
AIM:CCP Earnings Per Share Growth September 2nd 2020

Dive deeper into Celtic's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Celtic's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Celtic shareholders are down 29% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 9.9%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 9.7%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Celtic (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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