David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Pensana Plc (LON:PRE) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Pensana
What Is Pensana's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Pensana had US$24.3m of debt, an increase on US$13.6m, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
How Healthy Is Pensana's Balance Sheet?
According to the balance sheet data, Pensana had liabilities of US$34.1m due within 12 months, but no longer term liabilities. On the other hand, it had cash of US$118.7k and US$849.4k worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$33.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Pensana is worth US$101.4m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Pensana can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that Pensana finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Pensana had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost US$6.4m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$2.9m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Pensana is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 3 of those don't sit too well with us...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:PRE
Pensana
Engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the United Kingdom and Angola.
Slight and fair value.