Stock Analysis

Johnson Matthey (LON:JMAT) Is Increasing Its Dividend To UK£0.55

LSE:JMAT
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Johnson Matthey Plc's (LON:JMAT) dividend will be increasing on the 2nd of August to UK£0.55, with investors receiving 10% more than last year. This makes the dividend yield 3.6%, which is above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Johnson Matthey

Johnson Matthey's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 119% of what it was earning and 87% of cash flows. This indicates that the company could be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than reinvesting to grow the business.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 199.6%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 40%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.

historic-dividend
LSE:JMAT Historic Dividend May 29th 2022

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was UK£0.51 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was UK£0.72. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 3.5% over that duration. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Johnson Matthey's EPS has fallen by approximately 21% per year during the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Johnson Matthey's payments are rock solid. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 3 warning signs for Johnson Matthey that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:JMAT

Johnson Matthey

Engages in the clean air, catalyst and hydrogen technology, and platinum group metals (PGM) service businesses in the United Kingdom, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of North America, China, rest of Asia, and internationally.

Very undervalued with solid track record.