Stock Analysis

We Think Serabi Gold (LON:SRB) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

AIM:SRB
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Serabi Gold plc (LON:SRB) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Serabi Gold

How Much Debt Does Serabi Gold Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Serabi Gold had US$5.52m of debt, an increase on US$4.77m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has US$13.3m in cash, leading to a US$7.76m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:SRB Debt to Equity History November 18th 2023

How Healthy Is Serabi Gold's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Serabi Gold had liabilities of US$13.9m due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.89m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$13.3m in cash and US$2.53m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.02m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Serabi Gold shares are worth a total of US$29.6m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Serabi Gold boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Shareholders should be aware that Serabi Gold's EBIT was down 42% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Serabi Gold can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Serabi Gold may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Serabi Gold's free cash flow amounted to 39% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

Although Serabi Gold's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$7.76m. So while Serabi Gold does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Serabi Gold has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Serabi Gold is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.