Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Creo Medical Group PLC's (LON:CREO) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Lower

AIM:CREO
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Creo Medical Group PLC (LON:CREO) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 14%.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Creo Medical Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United Kingdom's Medical Equipment industry is similar at about 3.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Creo Medical Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:CREO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 2nd 2024

How Creo Medical Group Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Creo Medical Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Creo Medical Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Creo Medical Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, even though the last 12 months were fairly tame in comparison. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 28% per annum as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.2% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Creo Medical Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Following Creo Medical Group's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Creo Medical Group's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Creo Medical Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Creo Medical Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.