Stock Analysis

Does Associated British Foods (LON:ABF) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

LSE:ABF
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Associated British Foods plc (LON:ABF) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Associated British Foods

What Is Associated British Foods's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Associated British Foods had UK£637.0m of debt, an increase on UK£406.0m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds UK£2.13b in cash, so it actually has UK£1.49b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:ABF Debt to Equity History December 24th 2022

How Strong Is Associated British Foods' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Associated British Foods had liabilities of UK£4.05b falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£4.17b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had UK£2.13b in cash and UK£1.63b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£4.47b.

Associated British Foods has a very large market capitalization of UK£12.5b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Associated British Foods boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Associated British Foods has boosted its EBIT by 46%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Associated British Foods can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Associated British Foods has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Associated British Foods recorded free cash flow worth 75% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While Associated British Foods does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of UK£1.49b. And we liked the look of last year's 46% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Associated British Foods's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Associated British Foods has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:ABF

Associated British Foods

Operates as a diversified food, ingredients, and retail company worldwide.

Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.

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