Stock Analysis

Nichols (LON:NICL) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.124

AIM:NICL
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Nichols plc's (LON:NICL) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 9th of September to £0.124, with investors receiving 27% more than last year's £0.098. The payment will take the dividend yield to 1.9%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

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Nichols Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Even though Nichols isn't generating a profit, it is generating healthy free cash flows that easily cover the dividend. This gives us some comfort about the level of the dividend payments.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 130.9% over the next year. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 141%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
AIM:NICL Historic Dividend July 30th 2022

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was £0.153 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was £0.231. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.2% a year over that time. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Nichols' EPS has fallen by approximately 46% per year during the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.

Nichols' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Nichols will make a great income stock. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think Nichols is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Nichols that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About AIM:NICL

Nichols

Engages in supply of soft drinks to the retail, wholesale, catering, licensed, and leisure industries in the United Kingdom, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.