Stock Analysis

Is There Now An Opportunity In Fevertree Drinks PLC (LON:FEVR)?

AIM:FEVR
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Fevertree Drinks PLC (LON:FEVR), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the AIM. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Fevertree Drinks’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Fevertree Drinks

Is Fevertree Drinks Still Cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 5.5% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Fevertree Drinks today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth £14.50, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Fevertree Drinks’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Fevertree Drinks generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
AIM:FEVR Earnings and Revenue Growth July 29th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Fevertree Drinks' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 99%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? FEVR’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on FEVR, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Fevertree Drinks, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Fevertree Drinks has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.

If you are no longer interested in Fevertree Drinks, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.