Gulf Keystone Petroleum Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

Gulf Keystone Petroleum is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 93.9% and 35.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 82.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 21.8% in 3 years.

Key information

93.9%

Earnings growth rate

82.3%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth	11.4%
Revenue growth rate	35.2%
Future return on equity	21.8%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	11 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited's (LON:GKP) 27% Share Price Surge

May 22

These Analysts Just Made An Downgrade To Their Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (LON:GKP) EPS Forecasts

Mar 23

Newsflash: Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (LON:GKP) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Revenue Forecasts

Dec 15

Gulf Keystone Petroleum's (LON:GKP) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Dec 13

Gulf Keystone Petroleum (LON:GKP) Knows How To Allocate Capital Effectively

Aug 09

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited's (LON:GKP) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 86% Above Its Share Price

May 20

Gulf Keystone Petroleum (LON:GKP) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Mar 08

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:GKP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	269	92	76	180	4
12/31/2025	287	81	86	128	4
12/31/2024	142	8	56	82	5
6/30/2024	115	-8	22	62	N/A
3/31/2024	119	-10	4	57	N/A
12/31/2023	124	-11	-14	51	N/A
9/30/2023	200	44	33	117	N/A
6/30/2023	276	100	80	184	N/A
3/31/2023	368	183	173	279	N/A
12/31/2022	460	266	267	374	N/A
9/30/2022	447	264	250	349	N/A
6/30/2022	434	263	233	323	N/A
3/31/2022	368	214	178	251	N/A
12/31/2021	301	165	123	179	N/A
9/30/2021	245	108	97	137	N/A
6/30/2021	189	51	71	96	N/A
3/31/2021	149	2	25	69	N/A
12/31/2020	108	-47	-22	43	N/A
9/30/2020	135	-31	-40	45	N/A
6/30/2020	161	-14	-58	53	N/A
3/31/2020	184	15	-36	68	N/A
12/31/2019	207	44	-14	84	N/A
9/30/2019	218	60	42	118	N/A
6/30/2019	230	77	97	152	N/A
3/31/2019	240	79	117	155	N/A
12/31/2018	251	80	138	158	N/A
9/30/2018	230	60	119	133	N/A
6/30/2018	210	40	100	107	N/A
3/31/2018	191	27	N/A	91	N/A
12/31/2017	172	14	N/A	76	N/A
9/30/2017	172	115	N/A	54	N/A
6/30/2017	171	216	N/A	33	N/A
3/31/2017	183	99	N/A	41	N/A
12/31/2016	194	-17	N/A	50	N/A
9/30/2016	176	-193	N/A	48	N/A
6/30/2016	158	-369	N/A	47	N/A
3/31/2016	122	-291	N/A	7	N/A
12/31/2015	86	-214	N/A	-32	N/A
9/30/2015	68	-255	N/A	-57	N/A
6/30/2015	50	-296	N/A	-81	N/A
3/31/2015	44	-272	N/A	-59	N/A
12/31/2014	39	-248	N/A	-37	N/A
9/30/2014	32	-142	N/A	-19	N/A
6/30/2014	25	-35	N/A	0	N/A
3/31/2014	16	-34	N/A	-21	N/A
12/31/2013	7	-32	N/A	-42	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GKP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.1%).

Earnings vs Market: GKP is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: GKP is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GKP's revenue (35.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (3.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GKP's revenue (35.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GKP's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (21.8%)

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 01:58
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited is covered by 27 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Daniel Slater	Arden Partners Plc.
James Carmichael	Berenberg
Charlie Sharp	Canaccord Genuity

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 118%

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 85%

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$0.07 loss

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 232%

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 16%

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 10%, EPS upgraded

Recent updates

High number of new directors

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 28, 2025

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Announces Board and Committee Changes

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Announces Directorate Appointments, Effective 1 October 2024

Less than half of directors are independent

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Appoints David Thomas as Interim Chair

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Announces Sudden Passing Martin Angle, Chair

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.002 (vs US$0.013 loss in 1H 2023)

Upcoming dividend of US$0.068 per share

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 118%

New minor risk - Share price stability

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited's (LON:GKP) 27% Share Price Surge

Consensus estimates of losses per share improve by 85%

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (LSE:GKP) commences an Equity Buyback Plan for 22,244,365 shares, representing 10% of its issued share capital, under the authorization approved on June 16, 2023.

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (LSE:GKP) commences an Equity Buyback Plan for 22,244,365 shares, representing 10% of its issued share capital, under the authorization approved on June 16, 2023.

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$0.07 loss

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 21, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 232%

These Analysts Just Made An Downgrade To Their Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (LON:GKP) EPS Forecasts

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 21, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%

Newsflash: Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (LON:GKP) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Revenue Forecasts

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 16%

Now 23% undervalued

Gulf Keystone Petroleum's (LON:GKP) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

New major risk - Share price stability

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 10%, EPS upgraded

First half 2023 earnings released: US$0.013 loss per share (vs US$0.76 profit in 1H 2022)

New minor risk - Share price stability

Gulf Keystone Petroleum (LON:GKP) Knows How To Allocate Capital Effectively

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Announces Appointment of Julien Balkany as Non-Independent Non-Executive Director

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 16, 2023

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited's (LON:GKP) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 86% Above Its Share Price

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Announces Update on Shaikan Field Exports

Upcoming dividend of US$0.12 per share at 22% yield

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Mar 23, 2023

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Upcoming dividend of US$0.12 per share

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Announces the Declaration of Million Interim Dividend, Payable 7 October 2022

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0 (vs US$0.30 in 1H 2021)

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Reiterates Production Guidance for 2022

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Sep 01, 2022

Now 28% undervalued after recent price drop

Upcoming dividend of US$0.23 per share

Gulf Keystone Petroleum (LON:GKP) Is Achieving High Returns On Its Capital

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Announces Appointment of Wanda Mwaura as an Independent Non-Executive Director, Effective from July 1, 2022

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Approves Special Dividend, Payable on 29 July 2022

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2022

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Proposes Special Dividend, Payable on 29 July 2022

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Proposes Special Dividend, Payable on 29 July 2022

A Look At The Fair Value Of Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited (LON:GKP)

Now 21% undervalued

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Declares Interim Dividend for the Full Year 2021, Payable on 13 May 2022

Now 20% undervalued

Is Gulf Keystone Petroleum (LON:GKP) Using Too Much Debt?

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 24, 2022

Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited Proposes Interim Dividend, Payable on 13 May 2022

Investor sentiment improved over the past week