TotalEnergies SE

BATS-CHIXE:TTEP Stock Report

Market Cap: €132.5b

TotalEnergies Valuation

Is TTEP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TTEP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TTEP (€58.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€118.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TTEP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TTEP?

Key metric: As TTEP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TTEP. This is calculated by dividing TTEP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TTEP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.3x
EarningsUS$16.87b
Market CapUS$139.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TTEP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TTEP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.2x
SHEL Shell
13x5.5%UK£160.9b
28.2x28.5%UK£60.8b
857 PetroChina
5.9x-3.8%HK$1.5t
386 China Petroleum & Chemical
9.6x9.5%HK$769.4b
TTEP TotalEnergies
8.3x0.1%€132.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TTEP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TTEP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.03b
INDI Indus Gas
1xn/aUS$20.07m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies5PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TTEP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (8.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TTEP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TTEP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.3x
Fair PE Ratio18.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TTEP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TTEP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€58.13
€72.33
+24.4%
10.3%€92.82€60.13n/a21
Nov ’25€58.45
€71.06
+21.6%
9.4%€90.18€61.12n/a21
Oct ’25€59.21
€72.20
+21.9%
10.9%€97.12€62.45n/a21
Sep ’25€63.39
€71.72
+13.2%
10.4%€97.07€64.39n/a21
Aug ’25€62.18
€73.74
+18.6%
10.3%€99.62€65.41n/a21
Jul ’25€63.69
€73.92
+16.1%
10.0%€98.43€64.81n/a21
Jun ’25€65.13
€73.43
+12.7%
9.9%€97.59€64.50n/a21
May ’25€68.66
€73.59
+7.2%
10.0%€98.85€64.90n/a21
Apr ’25€62.93
€71.47
+13.6%
9.8%€99.17€61.48n/a21
Mar ’25€59.79
€70.40
+17.8%
10.6%€98.30€59.28n/a22
Feb ’25€60.48
€71.19
+17.7%
10.8%€99.81€59.45n/a22
Jan ’25€62.10
€69.46
+11.9%
10.7%€94.41€58.17n/a21
Dec ’24€63.00
€69.07
+9.6%
10.9%€95.02€58.55n/a21
Nov ’24€63.65
€70.36
+10.5%
11.4%€98.51€60.70€58.4521
Oct ’24€62.35
€68.06
+9.2%
8.0%€77.96€59.97€59.2121
Sep ’24€59.16
€65.16
+10.1%
8.7%€75.69€53.14€63.3921
Aug ’24€55.60
€64.93
+16.8%
8.2%€77.37€56.91€62.1821
Jul ’24€52.81
€65.60
+24.2%
8.7%€77.88€53.95€63.6921
Jun ’24€53.94
€66.99
+24.2%
8.9%€79.22€54.88€65.1323
May ’24€57.90
€65.75
+13.6%
8.9%€77.46€55.33€68.6623
Apr ’24€54.41
€65.47
+20.3%
9.7%€77.75€54.41€62.9323
Mar ’24€58.47
€67.31
+15.1%
9.4%€81.08€55.37€59.7923
Feb ’24€56.08
€65.77
+17.3%
9.6%€79.64€54.16€60.4823
Jan ’24€58.83
€64.68
+9.9%
11.6%€86.16€47.38€62.1023
Dec ’23€59.36
€63.92
+7.7%
12.3%€86.91€47.79€63.0023
Nov ’23€56.33
€65.48
+16.2%
12.9%€92.60€50.91€63.6524

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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