Public Joint Stock Company Rosneft Oil Company

LSE:ROSN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$21.0b

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Rosneft Oil Valuation

Is ROSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ROSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ROSN ($2.21) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($3.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ROSN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ROSN?

Key metric: As ROSN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ROSN. This is calculated by dividing ROSN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ROSN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio1.5x
Earnings₽883.00b
Market Cap₽1.28t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ROSN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ROSN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.6x
27.8x27.8%UK£59.6b
SHEL Shell
12.7x5.5%UK£157.3b
SNGS Surgutneftegas
2.3xn/a₽928.7b
SIBN Gazprom Neft
3.7xn/a₽1.8t
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ROSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.5x) compared to the peer average (2.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ROSN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.8.4x11.2%
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.03b
INDI Indus Gas
1xn/aUS$19.28m
No more companies available in this PE range
ROSN 1.5xIndustry Avg. 8.4xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.8.4x11.2%
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.03b
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ROSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.5x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (4.4x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ROSN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ROSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio1.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ROSN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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