Saras Valuation

Is SRSM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SRSM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SRSM (€1.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SRSM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SRSM?

Key metric: As SRSM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SRSM. This is calculated by dividing SRSM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SRSM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.2x
Earnings€343.24m
Market Cap€1.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SRSM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SRSM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.4x
SEPL Seplat Energy
19.3x13.4%UK£1.2b
ITH Ithaca Energy
19.4x-4.4%UK£1.7b
YCA Yellow Cake
2.1x-93.6%UK£1.2b
HBR Harbour Energy
48.9x14.4%UK£3.7b
SRSm Saras
5.1x-45.9%€1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SRSM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.2x) compared to the peer average (10.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SRSM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.03b
INDI Indus Gas
0.9xn/aUS$17.37m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies5PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SRSM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.2x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SRSM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SRSM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SRSM's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SRSM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€1.65
0%
4.3%€1.75€1.60n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
€1.65
0%
4.3%€1.75€1.60n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
€1.65
0%
4.3%€1.75€1.60n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
€1.65
0%
4.3%€1.75€1.60n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
€1.65
0%
4.3%€1.75€1.60n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
€1.70
0%
4.2%€1.75€1.60n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
€1.71
0%
3.8%€1.75€1.60n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
€1.73
0%
1.3%€1.75€1.70n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
€1.60
0%
6.4%€1.71€1.50n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
€1.54
0%
7.0%€1.70€1.40n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
€1.54
0%
7.0%€1.70€1.40n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
€1.54
0%
7.1%€1.70€1.40n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
€1.49
0%
7.8%€1.60€1.30n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
€1.47
0%
8.3%€1.60€1.30n/a4
Aug ’24n/a
€1.48
0%
9.0%€1.61€1.30n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
€1.69
0%
26.3%€2.55€1.30n/a5
Jun ’24n/a
€1.69
0%
26.3%€2.55€1.30n/a5
May ’24n/a
€1.75
0%
23.5%€2.55€1.40n/a5
Apr ’24n/a
€1.81
0%
24.5%€2.55€1.45n/a4
Mar ’24n/a
€1.85
0%
22.7%€2.55€1.30n/a5
Feb ’24n/a
€1.68
0%
15.4%€2.00€1.30n/a4
Jan ’24n/a
€1.55
0%
22.9%€2.15€1.10n/a5
Dec ’23n/a
€1.55
0%
22.9%€2.15€1.10n/a5
Nov ’23n/a
€1.57
0%
21.7%€2.15€1.10n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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