Yellow Cake Valuation

Is YCA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YCA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate YCA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate YCA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YCA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for YCA. This is calculated by dividing YCA's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is YCA's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$1.46b

YCA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	-0.02x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YCA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YCA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	15.8x
HSP Hargreaves Services	16.1x	23.4%	UK£197.1m
ENOG Energean	12.4x	14.6%	UK£1.7b
ITH Ithaca Energy	17.3x	28.4%	UK£1.3b
SEPL Seplat Energy	17.4x	13.6%	UK£1.1b
YCA Yellow Cake	2x	-103.6%	UK£1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YCA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YCA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	6.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	6.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YCA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YCA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YCA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	2x
Fair PE Ratio	1.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YCA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YCA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	UK£5.15	UK£7.83 +52.1%	16.8%	UK£9.55	UK£6.22	n/a	5
Aug ’25	UK£5.32	UK£7.94 +49.3%	17.0%	UK£9.70	UK£6.32	n/a	5
Jul ’25	UK£5.70	UK£8.00 +40.5%	17.7%	UK£9.85	UK£6.34	n/a	5
Jun ’25	UK£6.38	UK£8.05 +26.1%	16.0%	UK£9.70	UK£6.46	n/a	5
May ’25	UK£6.70	UK£8.14 +21.4%	15.9%	UK£9.81	UK£6.53	n/a	5
Apr ’25	UK£6.02	UK£8.03 +33.4%	19.3%	UK£9.88	UK£6.26	n/a	5
Mar ’25	UK£6.26	UK£8.38 +33.9%	16.9%	UK£9.86	UK£6.25	n/a	5
Feb ’25	UK£7.30	UK£7.80 +6.8%	16.9%	UK£9.82	UK£6.22	n/a	5
Jan ’25	UK£6.19	UK£6.43 +3.9%	5.7%	UK£6.98	UK£5.87	n/a	5
Dec ’24	UK£5.88	UK£6.43 +9.4%	5.7%	UK£6.98	UK£5.87	n/a	5
Nov ’24	UK£5.60	UK£6.60 +17.9%	5.6%	UK£7.25	UK£6.10	n/a	5
Oct ’24	UK£5.60	UK£5.88 +5.0%	5.2%	UK£6.33	UK£5.49	n/a	5
Sep ’24	UK£4.67	UK£5.59 +19.9%	6.0%	UK£6.21	UK£5.22	n/a	5
Aug ’24	UK£4.36	UK£5.54 +27.0%	6.3%	UK£6.08	UK£5.11	UK£5.32	4
Jul ’24	UK£4.09	UK£5.72 +40.0%	6.3%	UK£6.29	UK£5.31	UK£5.70	4
Jun ’24	UK£4.23	UK£5.72 +35.2%	6.3%	UK£6.29	UK£5.31	UK£6.38	4
May ’24	UK£3.76	UK£5.41 +43.9%	3.5%	UK£5.54	UK£5.08	UK£6.70	4
Apr ’24	UK£3.69	UK£5.43 +47.1%	3.4%	UK£5.57	UK£5.11	UK£6.02	4
Mar ’24	UK£4.05	UK£5.67 +39.9%	1.7%	UK£5.76	UK£5.53	UK£6.26	3
Feb ’24	UK£4.14	UK£5.44 +31.3%	2.2%	UK£5.62	UK£5.29	UK£7.30	4
Jan ’24	UK£3.75	UK£5.49 +46.6%	7.5%	UK£6.01	UK£4.87	UK£6.19	4
Dec ’23	UK£3.96	UK£5.60 +41.4%	5.4%	UK£5.89	UK£5.09	UK£5.88	4
Nov ’23	UK£4.29	UK£5.85 +36.4%	9.9%	UK£6.39	UK£4.87	UK£5.60	4
Oct ’23	UK£4.06	UK£5.76 +41.8%	8.5%	UK£6.41	UK£5.08	UK£5.60	4
Sep ’23	UK£4.17	UK£5.48 +31.5%	6.9%	UK£6.04	UK£5.05	UK£4.67	4
Aug ’23	UK£3.61	UK£5.25 +45.5%	5.8%	UK£5.72	UK£4.97	UK£4.36	4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.