International Petroleum Valuation
Is IPCOS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of IPCOS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: IPCOS (SEK120.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK771.91)
Significantly Below Fair Value: IPCOS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IPCOS?
Key metric: As IPCOS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
What is IPCOS's PE Ratio? | |
---|---|
PE Ratio | 9.6x |
Earnings | US$131.49m |
Market Cap | US$1.26b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.8x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 4.3x |
PEG Ratio | 1.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does IPCOS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 12.1x | ||
SEPL Seplat Energy | 18.2x | 13.4% | UK£1.2b |
ITH Ithaca Energy | 19.2x | -3.9% | UK£1.7b |
DEC Diversified Energy | 5.5x | 2.4% | UK£625.8m |
SQZ Serica Energy | 5.6x | -18.3% | UK£506.8m |
IPCOS International Petroleum | 9.6x | 7.1% | SEK 1.8b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IPCOS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does IPCOS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?
1 Company | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
ROSN Rosneft Oil | 1.5x | n/a | US$21.03b |
1 Company | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IPCOS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (9.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is IPCOS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 9.6x |
Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate IPCOS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | SEK 120.60 | SEK 153.47 +27.3% | 9.3% | SEK 170.85 | SEK 132.81 | n/a | 5 |
Dec ’25 | n/a | SEK 158.40 0% | 6.7% | SEK 173.78 | SEK 140.72 | n/a | 5 |
Nov ’25 | SEK 121.10 | SEK 154.34 +27.4% | 6.7% | SEK 168.40 | SEK 137.09 | n/a | 5 |
Oct ’25 | SEK 123.40 | SEK 155.56 +26.1% | 6.5% | SEK 167.29 | SEK 136.91 | n/a | 5 |
Sep ’25 | n/a | SEK 154.52 0% | 5.5% | SEK 165.27 | SEK 139.43 | n/a | 5 |
Aug ’25 | n/a | SEK 157.55 0% | 5.2% | SEK 162.28 | SEK 143.38 | n/a | 4 |
Jul ’25 | SEK 142.60 | SEK 149.53 +4.9% | 3.4% | SEK 154.55 | SEK 142.81 | n/a | 4 |
Jun ’25 | n/a | SEK 157.71 0% | 7.8% | SEK 180.41 | SEK 145.40 | n/a | 5 |
May ’25 | n/a | SEK 160.55 0% | 7.8% | SEK 184.63 | SEK 149.35 | n/a | 5 |
Apr ’25 | n/a | SEK 133.26 0% | 3.5% | SEK 141.60 | SEK 128.78 | n/a | 5 |
Mar ’25 | SEK 108.23 | SEK 128.47 +18.7% | 4.9% | SEK 137.83 | SEK 118.23 | n/a | 5 |
Feb ’25 | n/a | SEK 131.35 0% | 4.1% | SEK 139.21 | SEK 124.00 | n/a | 5 |
Jan ’25 | n/a | SEK 130.12 0% | 4.1% | SEK 139.58 | SEK 124.78 | n/a | 5 |
Dec ’24 | SEK 116.60 | SEK 135.51 +16.2% | 6.2% | SEK 144.69 | SEK 122.88 | n/a | 6 |
Nov ’24 | SEK 117.05 | SEK 145.62 +24.4% | 5.6% | SEK 153.05 | SEK 132.90 | SEK 121.10 | 6 |
Oct ’24 | n/a | SEK 141.42 0% | 9.3% | SEK 156.82 | SEK 123.61 | SEK 123.40 | 6 |
Sep ’24 | SEK 103.00 | SEK 139.60 +35.5% | 9.4% | SEK 154.58 | SEK 121.85 | n/a | 6 |
Aug ’24 | n/a | SEK 136.53 0% | 8.8% | SEK 151.87 | SEK 119.68 | n/a | 6 |
Jul ’24 | SEK 85.03 | SEK 138.97 +63.4% | 7.7% | SEK 154.36 | SEK 126.51 | SEK 142.60 | 6 |
Jun ’24 | SEK 87.86 | SEK 140.11 +59.5% | 7.1% | SEK 155.60 | SEK 127.53 | n/a | 7 |
May ’24 | SEK 98.26 | SEK 136.21 +38.6% | 8.4% | SEK 152.57 | SEK 122.06 | n/a | 7 |
Apr ’24 | SEK 98.08 | SEK 136.62 +39.3% | 8.1% | SEK 152.10 | SEK 123.84 | n/a | 7 |
Mar ’24 | SEK 101.65 | SEK 141.47 +39.2% | 8.8% | SEK 157.73 | SEK 126.17 | SEK 108.23 | 7 |
Feb ’24 | SEK 115.30 | SEK 148.76 +29.0% | 10.1% | SEK 164.68 | SEK 125.00 | n/a | 7 |
Jan ’24 | SEK 116.20 | SEK 146.34 +25.9% | 7.7% | SEK 160.69 | SEK 128.64 | n/a | 6 |
Dec ’23 | SEK 117.40 | SEK 149.00 +26.9% | 7.9% | SEK 163.24 | SEK 130.56 | SEK 116.60 | 6 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2024/12/22 07:25 |
End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/18 00:00 |
Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
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Company Financials | 10 years |
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Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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Market Prices | 30 years |
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Ownership | 10 years |
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Management | 10 years |
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Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
International Petroleum Corporation is covered by 15 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
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John A. Olaisen | ABG Sundal Collier |
Laique Ahmad Amir Arif | ATB Capital Markets |
Patrick O'Rourke | ATB Capital Markets |