Energean Valuation

Is ENOGL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ENOGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ENOGL (£10.59) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£9.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ENOGL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ENOGL?

Key metric: As ENOGL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ENOGL. This is calculated by dividing ENOGL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ENOGL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.9x
EarningsUS$273.48m
Market CapUS$2.44b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ENOGL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ENOGL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.4x
ITH Ithaca Energy
14.7x-8.4%UK£1.9b
SEPL Seplat Energy
19.5x13.4%UK£1.3b
HBR Harbour Energy
49.1x14.4%UK£3.8b
SQZ Serica Energy
6.1x-15.0%UK£554.0m
ENOGL Energean
8.9x7.0%UK£1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ENOGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the peer average (22.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ENOGL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.03b
INDI Indus Gas
0.9xn/aUS$17.25m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies5PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ENOGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (8.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ENOGL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ENOGL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.9x
Fair PE Ratio13.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ENOGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ENOGL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£10.59
UK£11.77
+11.1%
10.6%UK£13.25UK£10.00n/a7
Nov ’25UK£9.75
UK£11.77
+20.8%
10.6%UK£13.25UK£10.00n/a7
Oct ’25UK£9.10
UK£12.33
+35.5%
14.1%UK£15.00UK£10.00n/a8
Sep ’25UK£9.78
UK£13.54
+38.5%
9.7%UK£15.00UK£10.54n/a9
Aug ’25UK£9.71
UK£13.54
+39.6%
9.7%UK£15.00UK£10.54n/a9
Jul ’25UK£9.99
UK£14.22
+42.4%
11.1%UK£16.00UK£10.54n/a9
Jun ’25UK£11.92
UK£14.75
+23.8%
7.9%UK£17.00UK£13.00n/a8
May ’25UK£11.11
UK£14.51
+30.6%
8.4%UK£17.00UK£12.50n/a9
Apr ’25UK£10.98
UK£14.51
+32.2%
8.4%UK£17.00UK£12.50n/a9
Mar ’25UK£10.48
UK£14.79
+41.1%
10.4%UK£17.50UK£12.50n/a9
Feb ’25UK£9.36
UK£14.96
+59.9%
13.1%UK£19.00UK£12.50n/a9
Jan ’25UK£10.42
UK£15.43
+48.1%
11.0%UK£19.00UK£13.00n/a9
Dec ’24UK£10.20
UK£15.38
+50.8%
11.3%UK£19.00UK£13.00n/a9
Nov ’24UK£8.66
UK£15.42
+78.1%
11.3%UK£19.00UK£13.00UK£9.759
Oct ’24UK£11.45
UK£16.20
+41.5%
15.7%UK£21.50UK£13.00UK£9.109
Sep ’24UK£11.55
UK£16.34
+41.5%
17.3%UK£21.50UK£11.00UK£9.789
Aug ’24UK£11.41
UK£16.62
+45.7%
17.5%UK£21.50UK£11.00UK£9.719
Jul ’24UK£10.28
UK£16.90
+64.4%
16.5%UK£21.50UK£12.15UK£9.998
Jun ’24UK£11.08
UK£17.45
+57.5%
12.7%UK£21.50UK£14.60UK£11.928
May ’24UK£12.39
UK£17.89
+44.4%
13.5%UK£21.50UK£14.60UK£11.118
Apr ’24UK£13.04
UK£17.81
+36.6%
14.2%UK£21.50UK£14.00UK£10.988
Mar ’24UK£12.00
UK£17.62
+46.8%
13.6%UK£21.50UK£14.00UK£10.488
Feb ’24UK£11.82
UK£18.37
+55.4%
19.4%UK£26.00UK£14.00UK£9.368
Jan ’24UK£13.08
UK£19.60
+49.8%
16.1%UK£26.00UK£15.27UK£10.428
Dec ’23UK£14.88
UK£19.60
+31.7%
16.1%UK£26.00UK£15.27UK£10.208
Nov ’23UK£15.05
UK£18.57
+23.4%
20.7%UK£26.00UK£13.00UK£8.668

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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