Stock Analysis

Would Orcadian Energy (LON:ORCA) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

AIM:ORCA
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Orcadian Energy Plc (LON:ORCA) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Orcadian Energy

What Is Orcadian Energy's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2024, Orcadian Energy had UK£1.25m of debt, up from UK£1.07m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had UK£62.5k in cash, and so its net debt is UK£1.19m.

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AIM:ORCA Debt to Equity History March 17th 2025

A Look At Orcadian Energy's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Orcadian Energy had liabilities of UK£2.75m due within 12 months and no liabilities due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£62.5k and UK£26.2k worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling UK£2.66m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Orcadian Energy is worth UK£8.20m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Orcadian Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Since Orcadian Energy doesn't have significant operating revenue, shareholders must hope it'll sell some fossil fuels, before it runs out of money.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Orcadian Energy had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at UK£800k. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through UK£486k of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Orcadian Energy (at least 3 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.