Stock Analysis

Does GCM Resources (LON:GCM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

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AIM:GCM
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that GCM Resources Plc (LON:GCM) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for GCM Resources

What Is GCM Resources's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, GCM Resources had UK£4.93m of debt, up from UK£4.45m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had UK£740.0k in cash, and so its net debt is UK£4.19m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:GCM Debt to Equity History May 24th 2023

A Look At GCM Resources' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that GCM Resources had liabilities of UK£1.39m falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£4.93m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£740.0k as well as receivables valued at UK£43.0k due within 12 months. So its liabilities total UK£5.53m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of UK£5.72m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on GCM Resources' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since GCM Resources will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Since GCM Resources doesn't have significant operating revenue, shareholders must hope it'll sell some fossil fuels, before it runs out of money.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, GCM Resources had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping UK£1.1m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through UK£1.4m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for GCM Resources you should be aware of, and 3 of them are potentially serious.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether GCM Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.