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Afentra (LON:AET) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Afentra (LON:AET) so let's look a bit deeper.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Afentra:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.17 = US$43m ÷ (US$345m - US$97m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Afentra has an ROCE of 17%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Oil and Gas industry average of 9.6% it's much better.
Check out our latest analysis for Afentra
In the above chart we have measured Afentra's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Afentra .
The Trend Of ROCE
We're delighted to see that Afentra is reaping rewards from its investments and is now generating some pre-tax profits. About five years ago the company was generating losses but things have turned around because it's now earning 17% on its capital. And unsurprisingly, like most companies trying to break into the black, Afentra is utilizing 272% more capital than it was five years ago. We like this trend, because it tells us the company has profitable reinvestment opportunities available to it, and if it continues going forward that can lead to a multi-bagger performance.
For the record though, there was a noticeable increase in the company's current liabilities over the period, so we would attribute some of the ROCE growth to that. Effectively this means that suppliers or short-term creditors are now funding 28% of the business, which is more than it was five years ago. Keep an eye out for future increases because when the ratio of current liabilities to total assets gets particularly high, this can introduce some new risks for the business.
The Key Takeaway
To the delight of most shareholders, Afentra has now broken into profitability. And a remarkable 353% total return over the last five years tells us that investors are expecting more good things to come in the future. So given the stock has proven it has promising trends, it's worth researching the company further to see if these trends are likely to persist.
If you want to continue researching Afentra, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
While Afentra isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:AET
Afentra
Operates as an upstream oil and gas company primarily in Africa.
Very undervalued with high growth potential.
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Trending Discussion
Looks interesting, I am jumping into the finances now. Your 15% margin seems high for a conservative model, can't just ignore the years they need to invest. You didnt seem to mention that they had to dilute the sharebase by issuing ~40mil shares. raising ~8 mil. should be enough if mouse does OK. If not they will need to raise more to suvive. Losing 20m a year, 14m after there 6m cutbacks. Am I reading it right that they have no debt. have they any history of raising debt? First look it is too dependant on the mouse and GoT games. they do well stock will 2-3x, poorly and it will drop. I am not sure I agree with your work for hire backstop. Unlikely meta horizons will continue with the same size contract going forward. say 10% margins and 15x multiple on 30m. that is 45m, which with the new sharecount is 10c. It is a backstop but maybe not that strong. Mouse fails and devs could start jumping ship and outside contracts could dry up. Hmm on top of all that AI could be disrupting the work for hire model. I think I have mostly talked myself out of it. Although Mouse looks good and does seem like the type of game that could go viral on twitch for a few months. If it does you will likly get a great return 5x plus. crap maybe I am talking myself back in.
