Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Vanquis Banking Group plc's (LON:VANQ) 55% Price Drop

LSE:VANQ
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The Vanquis Banking Group plc (LON:VANQ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 55%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 76% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies in the United Kingdom have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may still consider Vanquis Banking Group as a highly attractive investment with its 3.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

For instance, Vanquis Banking Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Vanquis Banking Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:VANQ Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 28th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Vanquis Banking Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Vanquis Banking Group?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Vanquis Banking Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 62% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why Vanquis Banking Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Vanquis Banking Group's P/E?

Shares in Vanquis Banking Group have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Vanquis Banking Group revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Vanquis Banking Group (3 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.