Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying PayPoint's (LON:PAY) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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LSE:PAY

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see PayPoint plc (LON:PAY) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next three days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Therefore, if you purchase PayPoint's shares on or after the 29th of August, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 27th of September.

The company's upcoming dividend is UK£0.096 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of UK£0.38 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, PayPoint stock has a trailing yield of around 5.5% on the current share price of UK£7.00. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to investigate whether PayPoint can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

Check out our latest analysis for PayPoint

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Its dividend payout ratio is 78% of profit, which means the company is paying out a majority of its earnings. The relatively limited profit reinvestment could slow the rate of future earnings growth. We'd be concerned if earnings began to decline.

Generally speaking, the lower a company's payout ratios, the more resilient its dividend usually is.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

LSE:PAY Historic Dividend August 25th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. PayPoint's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 5.3% a year over the previous five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, PayPoint has lifted its dividend by approximately 2.0% a year on average.

The Bottom Line

Is PayPoint an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? We're not overly enthused to see PayPoint's earnings in retreat at the same time as the company is paying out more than half of its earnings as dividends to shareholders. This is not an overtly appealing combination of characteristics, and we're just not that interested in this company's dividend.

So if you're still interested in PayPoint despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. For example - PayPoint has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.