PayPoint Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
PayPoint's revenue is forecast to decline at 6.2% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 10.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 19.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 57.1% in 3 years.
Key information
10.5%
Earnings growth rate
19.58%
EPS growth rate
| Diversified Financial earnings growth | 20.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | -6.2% |
| Future return on equity | 57.10% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 11 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 09
PAY: Share Buybacks And Growing Dividend Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on PayPoint from £11.00 to £9.55, citing updated assumptions that incorporate a higher discount rate, softer revenue growth expectations, a lower profit margin and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for PayPoint PayPoint reported that from 1 October 2025 to 31 March 2026 it repurchased 3,032,216 shares for £17.1 million, representing 4.69% of its share capital, under its ongoing share buyback programme.
Narrative Update • Jun 25
PAY: Share Buyback And New Business Units Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on PayPoint to £6.88, reflecting updated assumptions for a slightly higher discount rate, weaker revenue growth and profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for PayPoint PayPoint plc has announced a proposed final dividend of 20.0 pence per share, with shareholder approval scheduled at the Annual General Meeting on 29 July 2026.Narrative Update • Jun 11
PAY: Share Buyback And Reorganisation Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for PayPoint from £9.42 to £6.88. This reflects updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, which collectively point to a more conservative price target.
Narrative Update • Mar 27
PAY: Softer Revenue Outlook Will Keep Valuation Pressure Intact
Analysts have nudged their price target on PayPoint slightly lower to £4.20, reflecting a modestly higher assumed profit margin, a slightly weaker revenue outlook, and a marginally adjusted P/E and discount rate. What's in the News AccessPay has entered a new partnership with PayPoint to integrate PayPoint's Confirmation of Payee capability into AccessPay's payments automation suite for finance teams, focusing on payee verification within payment workflows.Narrative Update • Mar 12
PAY: Index Removals And Deeper Revenue Contraction Will Sustain Overpricing
Analysts have nudged their price target on PayPoint slightly lower to £3.10 from £3.15, citing updated assumptions that now reflect a modestly higher discount rate, a slightly deeper 14.7% revenue contraction, and a small uplift in profit margin alongside a lower future P/E of 3.10x. What's in the News AccessPay announced a new partnership with PayPoint to integrate PayPoint's Confirmation of Payee capability into AccessPay's payments automation suite for finance teams, aiming to support account name verification within existing payment workflows (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 26
PAY: Index Removals Will Signal Persistent Overpricing Despite Model Tweaks
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on PayPoint, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends and profit margins that feed through to their £ fair value estimate, even though the headline valuation input remains at £4.20. What's in the News PayPoint plc was removed from the FTSE 350 Index (GBP), reflecting a change in its index membership status (index announcement).Narrative Update • Feb 11
PAY: Index Removals Will Signal An Overpriced Future
Analysts have nudged their price target for PayPoint slightly higher to reflect updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue contraction, profit margins and future P/E. This points to a modest uplift in perceived valuation quality even though the headline fair value estimate in £ terms remains around £4.20.Narrative Update • Jan 26
PAY: Index Removals And Buybacks Will Signal An Overpriced Future
Analysts have trimmed their price target on PayPoint to reflect only modest changes in the discount rate, profit margin expectations, and a slightly lower future P/E. Their fair value estimate remains broadly steady at £4.20.Analysis Article • Jan 25
PayPoint (LON:PAY) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.099
The board of PayPoint plc ( LON:PAY ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 27th of March, with investors...Narrative Update • Jan 11
PAY: Index Removals And Steady Dividends Will Define A Fairly Valued Future
Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target for PayPoint from £4.70 to £4.20 as they factor in a slightly higher discount rate, a small 1% change in expected revenue contraction, a modest improvement in forecast profit margin to about 54% and a lower assumed future P/E of roughly 3.34x. What's in the News PayPoint plc is set to drop from the FTSE 250 Index, which can influence how index funds and some institutional investors treat the shares (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 26
PAY: Dividends And Index Exit Will Shape A More Income-Focused Future
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on PayPoint by approximately £0.07 per share. This reflects slightly softer revenue growth expectations, which are more than offset by a marginally reduced discount rate and an improved profit margin outlook.Analysis Article • Dec 21
PayPoint (LON:PAY) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.099
PayPoint plc's ( LON:PAY ) investors are due to receive a payment of £0.099 per share on 27th of March. This means the...Narrative Update • Dec 12
PAY: Special Dividends And Consolidation Will Shape A More Focused Future
Narrative Update on PayPoint The analyst price target for PayPoint has been revised down by approximately 20 percent to reflect analysts' expectations of weaker revenue growth and a higher discount rate, partly offset by improved profit margin forecasts and a lower future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Announced a special dividend of 50.0 pence per share linked to a £43.9 million strategic investment for a 49% stake in Collect+, valuing the business at £90 million (Key Developments) Proposed a 12-for-13 share consolidation to accompany the special dividend, subject to shareholder approval at a Special General Meeting on 17 October 2025 (Key Developments) Scheduled a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for 17 October 2025 at the company head office in Welwyn Garden City to approve the special dividend and share consolidation (Key Developments) Declared an increased interim dividend of 19.8 pence per share for the half year ended 30 September 2025, up 2.1% from the prior year interim dividend and 1.0% above the most recent final dividend (Key Developments) Announced a stock split or significant stock dividend on 20 October 2025, with a 1-to-1.08333 ratio (Key Developments) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has fallen significantly from 6.0 to 4.7, implying a materially lower intrinsic valuation for PayPoint.Analysis Article • Nov 23
PayPoint's (LON:PAY) Dividend Will Be £0.099
PayPoint plc's ( LON:PAY ) investors are due to receive a payment of £0.099 per share on 19th of December. Based on...Analysis Article • Nov 21
Slammed 30% PayPoint plc (LON:PAY) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch
PayPoint plc ( LON:PAY ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 30% share...Narrative Update • Oct 21
Analysts Lift PayPoint Price Target Following Collect Plus Stake and Updated Financial Estimates
Analysts have increased their price target for PayPoint from £8.85 to £9.42 per share, citing modest adjustments in fair value estimates and refinements to financial model assumptions. What's in the News PayPoint and International Distribution Services (IDS) will invest £43.9 million in Collect+, acquiring a 49% ownership stake and valuing Collect+ at £90 million (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Aug 13
PayPoint (LON:PAY) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.098
The board of PayPoint plc ( LON:PAY ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 26th of September, with...Analysis Article • Jul 03
PayPoint's (LON:PAY) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's
The board of PayPoint plc ( LON:PAY ) has announced that the dividend on 11th of August will be increased to £0.098...Analysis Article • Jun 17
PayPoint (LON:PAY) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To £0.098
PayPoint plc's ( LON:PAY ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 11th of August to £0.098, with investors...New Narrative • Jun 15
Digital Payments And Open Banking Will Reshape Retail Networks
Growth in digital payments, open banking, and e-commerce partnerships positions PayPoint for increased transaction volumes and diversified revenue streams.Analysis Article • Nov 24
PayPoint (LON:PAY) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
PayPoint plc ( LON:PAY ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on...Analysis Article • Jul 25
We Think Shareholders Are Less Likely To Approve A Large Pay Rise For PayPoint plc's (LON:PAY) CEO For Now
Key Insights PayPoint's Annual General Meeting to take place on 1st of August CEO Nick Wiles' total compensation...Analysis Article • Jun 18
PayPoint plc (LON:PAY) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks
When close to half the companies in the United Kingdom have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may...Analysis Article • Jan 18
PayPoint (LON:PAY) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.095
The board of PayPoint plc ( LON:PAY ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 5th of March, with investors...Analysis Article • Dec 02
PayPoint (LON:PAY) Has Announced A Dividend Of £0.095
PayPoint plc ( LON:PAY ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of £0.095 per share on the 5th of March. This makes...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2029 | 211 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 3/31/2028 | 205 | 49 | N/A | 75 | 1 |
| 3/31/2027 | 195 | 48 | N/A | 70 | 1 |
| 3/31/2026 | 329 | 39 | 100 | 122 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 320 | 28 | 56 | 77 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 311 | 16 | 11 | 31 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 306 | 18 | 8 | 28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 302 | 19 | 6 | 24 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 304 | 30 | 32 | 50 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 306 | 40 | 57 | 75 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 302 | 38 | 48 | 65 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 298 | 36 | 38 | 54 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 256 | 33 | 49 | 64 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 214 | 30 | 61 | 75 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 190 | 33 | 38 | 52 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 167 | 35 | 16 | 29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 159 | 35 | 22 | 35 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 150 | 36 | 29 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 148 | 38 | 20 | 32 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 145 | 40 | 12 | 23 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 141 | 31 | 18 | 26 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 137 | 23 | 24 | 30 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 132 | 20 | 34 | 42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 128 | 16 | 43 | 55 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 132 | 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 136 | 36 | 53 | 67 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 140 | 38 | 48 | 59 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 144 | 40 | 43 | 51 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 159 | 40 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 174 | 41 | N/A | 49 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 193 | 43 | N/A | 54 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 212 | 44 | N/A | 60 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 217 | 44 | N/A | 66 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 222 | 44 | N/A | 72 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 218 | 43 | N/A | 67 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 214 | 43 | N/A | 63 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 211 | 51 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 208 | 60 | N/A | 53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 210 | 60 | N/A | 47 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 212 | 60 | N/A | 42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 212 | 39 | N/A | 43 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 211 | 19 | N/A | 43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 212 | 8 | N/A | 51 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 213 | -2 | N/A | 59 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 215 | 9 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 217 | 20 | N/A | 57 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: PAY's forecast earnings growth (10.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).
Earnings vs Market: PAY's earnings (10.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (11.5% per year).
High Growth Earnings: PAY's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: PAY's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-6.2% per year).
High Growth Revenue: PAY's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.2% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: PAY's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (57.1%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/14 13:04 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/14 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
PayPoint plc is covered by 10 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Gerardus Vos | Barclays |
| Sven Merkt | Barclays |
| Grégoire Hermann | Barclays |