Stock Analysis

CMC Markets' (LON:CMCX) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

LSE:CMCX
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CMC Markets plc's (LON:CMCX) dividend will be increasing to UK£0.21 on 9th of September. This will take the dividend yield from 6.7% to 6.7%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for CMC Markets

CMC Markets Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. The last dividend was quite comfortably covered by CMC Markets' earnings, but it was a bit tighter on the cash flow front. By paying out so much of its cash flows, this could indicate that the company has limited opportunities for investment and growth.

EPS is set to fall by 39.5% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 105%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
LSE:CMCX Historic Dividend August 5th 2021

CMC Markets' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, CMC Markets' dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from UK£0.11 in 2016 to the most recent annual payment of UK£0.31. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 23% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. We are encouraged to see that CMC Markets has grown earnings per share at 32% per year over the past five years. CMC Markets is clearly able to grow rapidly while still returning cash to shareholders, positioning it to become a strong dividend payer in the future.

Our Thoughts On CMC Markets' Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The company hasn't been paying a very consistent dividend over time, despite only paying out a small portion of earnings. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for CMC Markets (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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