Stock Analysis

Orchard Funding Group (LON:ORCH) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of UK£0.02

AIM:ORCH
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Orchard Funding Group plc (LON:ORCH) will pay a dividend of UK£0.02 on the 17th of December. This means the annual payment will be 5.5% of the current stock price, which is lower than the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Orchard Funding Group

Orchard Funding Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. The last dividend made up quite a large portion of free cash flows, and this was made worse by the lack of free cash flows. This is a pretty unsustainable practice, and could be risky if continued for the long term.

If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 3.5% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 85%, which is definitely on the higher side.

historic-dividend
AIM:ORCH Historic Dividend November 25th 2021

Orchard Funding Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. Since 2015, the first annual payment was UK£0.028, compared to the most recent full-year payment of UK£0.03. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.1% a year over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's not great to see that Orchard Funding Group's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 3.5% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed.

Orchard Funding Group's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Orchard Funding Group has 5 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About AIM:ORCH

Orchard Funding Group

Through its subsidiaries, offers insurance premium finance, professional fee funding, finance, and secured property lending services in the United Kingdom.

Undervalued with moderate growth potential.

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