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Kingswood Holdings Limited's (LON:KWG) 26% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Kingswood Holdings Limited (LON:KWG) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 35% share price drop.
Following the heavy fall in price, Kingswood Holdings may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Capital Markets industry in the United Kingdom have P/S ratios greater than 2.9x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Kingswood Holdings
How Kingswood Holdings Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Kingswood Holdings has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Kingswood Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kingswood Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Kingswood Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Kingswood Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. Thanks to this gigantic uplift, it also grew revenue by 16% in total over the last three years. So while the recent revenue growth has been good for the company, we do note that it does tend to experience some large revenue swings, particularly over the last 12 months.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Kingswood Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
The Bottom Line On Kingswood Holdings' P/S
Shares in Kingswood Holdings have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Kingswood Holdings confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Kingswood Holdings (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Kingswood Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kingswood Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:KWG
Kingswood Holdings
Operates as integrated wealth management company in the United Kingdom.
Low and slightly overvalued.
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